CATFISH: A Trending Forecast Involving Simple Heuristics is Pastime Labs' first attempt at player-level statistical modeling. Using linear regression, aging curves, and other tools, CATFISH attempts to project with relative confidence the individual performances of every player in Major League Baseball.
THOME, or the Team Handicapping and Odds Modeling Engine, was Pastime Labs' first big success story, correctly picking the winning side of 20 of the 30 MLB teams' Over/Under Wins (or "Team Totals") wagers two years in a row. Simulating the entire MLB season 100,000 times for each run of the projections, THOME's confidence levels can be taken straight to the bank. OK, go to the sportsbook window first...
Not actually a projection system of any kind, the No Whine Timeline looks back over franchise histories in eleven competitions covering baseball, basketball, football, soccer, and hockey at the national, international, and collegiate levels. The Timeline dictates whether fans of a particular team, nation, or school have the right to complain based on their recent and overall success.
While Pastime Labs is always cooking up the next project in-house— as of this writing we are working on an ice hockey wagering system we call HASEK— we're always open to new ideas and possible collaborations. Reach out using the form below, a real human being reads every message.